Republican Nick Begich has successfully unseated Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola (D-AK), securing Alaska’s at-large congressional district in a closely contested race. This victory expands the Republican Party’s hold in the House of Representatives to 220 seats, surpassing the 218-seat threshold needed for a majority.
Peltola had flipped the seat in 2022, winning a competitive race that featured Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system. After advancing from the primary alongside Republican challengers Nick Begich and former Governor Sarah Palin, Peltola narrowly defeated Palin in the final round. The seat, long held by the late Don Young (R), who served from 1973 until his passing in 2022, marked a historic moment for Democrats when Peltola took office.
A Tight Race Under Ranked-Choice Voting
In this year’s election, Peltola once again led the initial nonpartisan primary, followed closely by Begich and Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom, a fellow Republican. Recognizing the risk of a divided conservative vote, the GOP rallied around Begich, unifying efforts to reclaim the seat.
Begich emerged victorious in a hard-fought battle, with the final margin projected to be under 10,000 votes. His win underscores Republican gains in a state that has embraced ranked-choice voting, a system that continues to spark debate and faces potential changes in upcoming ballots.
Republican Momentum in 2024
The Alaska victory adds to a strong Republican performance nationwide, with the party holding vulnerable seats and flipping key districts. For instance, Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) and David Valadao (R-CA) retained their seats, while Freedom Caucus member Scott Perry (R-PA) overcame significant opposition. Notably, the GOP also captured Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District, where local businessman Rob Bresnehan defeated Democratic incumbent Matt Cartwright in President Biden’s birthplace, Scranton.
Special Elections and House Dynamics
With their growing majority, Republicans are positioned to support President-elect Trump’s legislative agenda. However, the GOP faces upcoming challenges in filling seats vacated by party members joining the Trump Administration. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) and Rep. Mike Waltz (R-FL) are stepping into new roles, prompting special elections in their districts. Stefanik’s R+9 district in New York and a deep-red Florida seat are expected to remain Republican but could see competitive races.
In Florida, Rep. Matt Gaetz’s resignation to serve as Trump’s Attorney General further highlights the reshuffling within the GOP as it solidifies its majority and prepares for the next legislative session.
Looking Ahead
As vote counts continue in several West Coast districts, the Republican Party could further expand its margin, strengthening its control of the House. With momentum on their side, the GOP aims to leverage its gains to advance its legislative priorities and provide robust support for President-elect Trump.